BOOM Finance and Economics 11th February 2024 -- a Global Review
WEEKLY -- On Sunday -- All previous Editorials are available at LinkedIn and at Wordpress https://boomfinanceandeconomics.wordpress.com/
ELECTRIC CAR COMPANY GOES KAPUT — HITS FINANCIAL WALL
TESLA SHARES UNCONVINCING
BANK OF ENGLAND AND THE POSSIBILITY OF A “BRITCOIN” (CBDC)
BRITCOIN ANNOUNCEMENT
DO WE NEED ANONYMOUS UNCONDITIONAL ELECTRONIC CASH (AUEC)?
CHINA STOCKS BOUNCE STRONGLY AS BOOM EXPECTED
NO FARMERS – NO FOOD
HAVE THE MAJOR US BANKS UNLAWFULLY ABANDONED THE US GOVERNMENT, THEIR SHAREHOLDERS AND SOME OF THEIR MAJOR CUSTOMERS?
BANKS “NET ZERO AGENDA MUST BE STOPPED”
ELECTRIC CAR COMPANY HITS FINANCIAL WALL — KAPUT
The Electric Van company based in the UK called “Arrival” has arrived …. at insolvency administration under the accounting firm, Ernst & Young. It has (presumably) run out of cash. At one point, it was apparently valued at 10 Billion Pounds on the stock market. That is equal to US $ 12.6 Billion or almost $ 20 Billion Australian Dollars.
Their share price chart shows (exactly) what is happening to all US listed electric car companies, renewable energy companies, Hydrogen energy companies and “Clean” energy companies (with some notable exceptions). BOOM has previously documented those share price collapses in BOOM Substack editions dated 12th and 19th November. You can search the Archive here — https://boomfinanceandeconomics.substack.com/archive
One of the exceptions is arguably Tesla. However Tesla shares have been in downtrend for over 2 years now since reaching their peak in late 2021.
Arrival has a geewhiz, slick website which looks and sounds similar to all the companies referred to above. The plans outlined are grandiose, revolutionary but also delusional.
“Arrival’s revolutionary Microfactory production method means our EVs are sold at price parity with petrol and diesel equivalents. By levelling the market and building Arrival Microfactories all over the world, we’re empowering local communities globally, giving them access to clean technologies that can help decarbonise their region and improve air quality.
Together, these innovations can begin to help in the fight against climate injustice and inequality.”
BOOM is not sure what is meant by “clean technologies” as most electric vehicles are re-charged from gas or coal fired power stations. And BOOM is not sure what a “Microfactory” is. BOOM is also not sure what “climate injustice” is or “climate inequality”. But that is just BOOM …..
At its High point, the shares of Arrival Ltd traded above US $ 1,800. They finished their trading on the OTC market in America on Friday at 2 cents. During the week, they had traded below 1 cent per share.
ARRIVAL SHARES — FOUR YEARS OF COLLAPSE
TESLA SHARES UNCONVINCING
Meanwhile, Tesla shares (TSLA) finished the week up by 3 % which sounds promising. However, they did so on progressively falling daily volumes. This is an unconvincing bounce. BOOM is waiting and watching closely for further weakness here as this is the “moment of truth” for Tesla. We shall see. There is no need to make any predictions. Time to watch the market action closely for signs of strength or weakness over the next few weeks. The market will tell us the direction.
TESLA DAILY CHART OVER 6 MONTHS
BANK OF ENGLAND HISTORY AND THE POSSIBILITY OF A “BRITCOIN” (CBDC)
It is often said that “all the central banks are owned by one family”. This has become an urban myth. It just happens to be untrue. For example, anyone can buy shares in the Swiss National Bank, the Bank of Japan or the Banca d’Italia. (Bank of Italy). But most central banks are government owned. The US Federal Reserve is not. It is privately owned by a group of older, well established banks.
The Bank of England (BOE) is the central bank of the United Kingdom. It was founded in 1694 as a private bank and was owned by private shareholders until 1946 when control was passed to the State, under a Nationalisation. It is the world's eighth-oldest bank.
The “Governor and Company of the Bank of England” or as most people know it, the Bank of England, was established by Royal Charter in 1694, to raise money to fund a war with France. Over 1,200 people purchased shares (known at the time as “Bank stock”) totalling £1.2 million.
The first shareholders came from a variety of backgrounds, trades and professions, including carpenters and grocers, merchants, doctors, knights and royalty. The first subscription produced 1,520 separate names, contributing from as little as £25 to £10,000 (the amount subscribed by King William and Queen Mary).
The original subscribers (investors) list, believe it or not, can be inspected here:
https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/files/archive/original-bank-subscribers/1694.pdf
In 1998 it became an independent public organisation, wholly owned by the Treasury Solicitor on behalf of the government, with a mandate to support the economic policies of the government of the day, but having independence in maintaining price stability. “Price stability” is code for the setting of official interest rates (otherwise also known as monetary policy). In the 21st century, the Bank took on increased responsibility for maintaining and monitoring financial stability in the UK, and it increasingly functions as a statutory regulator.
There are two other separate regulatory bodies involved in overseeing the UK financial sector -- the Prudential Regulatory Authority which regulates 1,500 banks, building societies, credit unions, insurers and major investment firms and the Financial Conduct Authority. However, today, BOOM will focus on the Bank of England.
The Office of the Treasury Solicitor goes back several centuries. The office was enshrined in law by the Treasury Solicitor Act 1876, which established the Treasury Solicitor as a corporation sole (an office with perpetual succession). A corporation sole is a legal entity consisting of a single ("sole") incorporated office, occupied by a single ("sole") natural person. This structure allows corporations (often religious corporations or Commonwealth governments) to pass without interruption from one officeholder to the next, giving positions legal continuity with subsequent officeholders having identical powers and possessions to their predecessors.
The Treasury Solicitor is the head of the Government Legal Department (previously called the Treasury Solicitor's Department) which is the largest in-house legal organisation in the United Kingdom's Government. The department is a non-ministerial government department and executive agency. The Treasury Solicitor reports to the Attorney General for England and Wales. The department employs more than 1,900 solicitors and barristers to provide advice and legal representation on a huge range of issues to many government departments.
The Treasury Solicitor and Head of the Government Legal Service is currently Susanna McGibbon, a barrister and senior British civil servant.
The Governor of the Bank of England is the most senior position in the Bank of England. The governor of the Bank of England is also chair of the Monetary Policy Committee, with a major role in guiding national economic and monetary policy, and is therefore one of the most important public officials in the United Kingdom. In its current incarnation, the Bank's Court of Directors has 12 (or up to 14) members, of whom five are various designated executives of the bank. The 121st and current governor is Andrew Bailey, who began his term in March 2020
BRITCOIN ANNOUNCEMENT
On 25th January this year, after 11 months of deliberations, the Bank issued a Report titled “Bank of England and HM Treasury respond to digital pound consultation”
In regard to any future so-called “Digital Pound”, the Press Release confirmed that the Bank of England and HM Treasury would include primary legislation to guarantee all users’ privacy and control. And, to clarify that, these three points were highlighted.
Response confirms that neither the Bank nor the Government would have access to users’ personal data.
Authorities committed to maintaining access to cash for those who prefer it.
Continuing work on digital currency will strengthen the UK’s position as a competitive global leader in finance.
It was also stated that “No final decision has been made to pursue a (so called) digital pound - also called a central bank digital currency (CBDC).”
BOOM would like to point out to readers that almost all Pounds (and all national fiat currencies) are, in fact, currently digital – they reside on the electronic ledgers of the commercial banking system and the ledgers of the central bank. The exception is physical cash (notes and coins) – which is obviously non digital.
In regard to any possible CBDC, the Press Release went on to state – Quote --
“Work will continue during the design phase exploring its feasibility and potential design choices. This will look at how a digital pound could be used in the UK economy, providing greater choice, convenience and innovation for households and businesses making and accepting everyday payments.
The feedback from respondents from a range of industries and organisations was largely supportive of the proposed design set out in the 2023 Consultation Paper, while other respondents raised concerns about the implications of a digital pound for access to cash, users’ privacy, and control of their money.
To address these concerns, today’s publication confirms that, if a digital pound were to be implemented, primary legislation would be introduced, and this would guarantee users’ privacy and control. The Bank and the Government would not have access to any personal data and users would have freedom in how they spent their digital pounds. There would also be a further public consultation on a digital pound prior to the introduction of primary legislation. These commitments would give both Parliament and the public further opportunities to have their say.
In addition, today’s publication reiterates the commitment of both the Government and the Bank to protect access to cash, even if a digital pound were introduced.”
Economic Secretary to the Treasury, Bim Afolami, said:
"We will always ensure people's privacy is paramount in any design, and any rollout would be alongside, not instead of, traditional cash."
Deputy Governor for Financial Stability, Sarah Breeden, said:
“Trust in all forms of money is an absolute necessity. We know the decision on whether or not to introduce a digital pound in the UK will be a major one for the future of money. It is essential that we build that trust and have the support of the public and businesses who would be using it if introduced.”
Following the design phase, the Bank and the Government will decide whether or not to build a digital pound, and, if proceeding, would set out a timetable for further consultation on legislation and a potential launch.
These statements put to rest a lot of conjecture on the nature of any new “digital money”/”CBDC”. However, the debate is far from over and BOOM has quite a lot to say about the matter.
At this juncture, it is important to say that BOOM prefers the term Anonymous and Unconditional Electronic Cash (AUEC) in this context. BOOM herewith suggests and advises all central banks to use that term in future.
The Press Release went on to say --
What would a digital pound look like? (there are 8 dot points under this heading in the Press Release)
A digital pound would complement the role of cash in a digital world and give people more choice in how they make everyday payments.
£10 of a digital pound would always be worth the same as £10 in banknotes or coins.
It would be issued by the Bank of England, widely available and convenient to use.
BOOM is strongly opposed to this last proposal of issuance by the central bank and advises all central banks to think hard before embarking upon such a policy.
BOOM is of the strong opinion that any form of AUEC should be issued NOT by any central bank but by the Government as the democratically elected representative of the people or by the Government’s Treasury. As BOOM often says – “Our Nation is our Currency and our Currency is our Nation”. This statement is a critical part of the Ethos of any Nation. Ethos is originally a Greek word meaning “character” that is used to describe the guiding beliefs or ideals that characterise a community, nation, or ideology; and the balance between caution and passion.
Let’s examine the rest of the “dot points”.
It would be easily exchangeable with other forms of money, including cash and bank deposits.
It would be accessed through digital wallets offered to the public and businesses by the private sector through smartphones or smartcards.
BOOM is opposed to this proposal as it implies that fees (or interest) could be charged by the private sector in such an arrangement. Cash is the People’s Money and should never incur any cost for usage.
It would be intended for payments made online, in-store, and between individuals, rather than for savings, and it would not pay interest.
BOOM has concerns about the comment “rather than for savings”. This suggests that a time limit may be placed on the holding of any proposed AUEC. The Bank of England must clarify that this is not the case or the intention. BOOM strongly suggests and advises the Bank of England to delete this phrase from any future communications.
There would be restrictions, at least initially, on how much an individual or business could hold.
BOOM is again alerted to a major concern in this dot point – any restrictions on the volume of currency that could be held is suspicious of central control and time limitation and is not in the spirit of physical cash which can be held in any volume by citizens for any length of time and the supply of which must always be responsive to demand.
Like banknotes, it would be a claim on the Bank of England, have intrinsic value and be stable, unlike unbacked cryptoassets.
This last dot point is also of concern to BOOM. In BOOM’s strong opinion, AUEC’s should be a claim on the Treasury of the democratically elected Government of a Nation. If an AUEC was “issued by the central bank” and defined as “a claim on the central bank”, then the central bank would have control over the VOLUME of issuance.
Such control of money Volume by a central bank has never been the norm. Central Banks traditionally control the cost of money (via interest rate settings) while the volume of money supply is a function of borrower demand at the commercial banks and citizen demand for physical cash.
Thus, this amounts to a grab for much more monetary power being placed in an “independent organisation” (the central bank), essentially unanswerable to the democratic oversight of the People. This is not a good policy and must be opposed forcefully.
All is not lost (yet). The Press Release states at the very end -- “As well as exploring the commercial, technological and operational elements of a digital pound, there will be continued engagement through a national conversation and further consultation with the public, businesses and wider stakeholders to ensure this work takes account of all views.”
BOOM strongly suggests that the Bank of England and all other central banks consider BOOM’s concerns carefully as outlined in this editorial. If they get this wrong, the Peoples’ trust in their currency could be seriously weakened. That would be an unmitigated disaster for the nation in the long run.
DO WE NEED ANONYMOUS UNCONDITIONAL ELECTRONIC CASH (AUEC)?
BOOM can see the arguments for a form of anonymous, unconditional electronic cash. However, there is a grave danger of destabilisation to the financial system if such an initiative was embarked upon without very, very careful consideration of the inherent risks. Trust in our governments and in our financial institutions is currently fragile. The issuance and encouraged circulation of more physical cash may be a much better way to solve all the problems instead. In that case, trust would not be put in any danger.
Currently in all advanced economies the supply of fresh new money is made up of 2 – 3 % physical Cash and 97 – 98 % Credit (bank loans). However, there is a major demographic problem developing in all those advanced economies and that is the projected falling numbers of the working age population. As the working age population slowly declines, the demand for fresh new bank loans will decline and, thus, the money supply will fail to be replenished. If this were to continue, the economy would eventually become starved of fresh new money and would enter an inevitable and persistent contraction.
It is not just the decreased creation of fresh new credit money that is a consideration here. Credit money dies when bank loans are paid off. Thus, the credit money supply volume will decrease through both less creation AND more destruction.
If physical cash is only 2 – 3 % of the money supply, then the supply of most fresh new money and the health of the economy obviously depends upon a constant demand for bank loans. If bank loan demand falls as older loans are progressively paid off, then the money supply will inevitably fall. This problem can only be corrected by increasing the working age population to boost the demand for bank loans (though increased immigration or higher birth rates) or by increasing the use of physical cash.
Increasing and encouraging the use of physical cash to solve this problem of money supply sounds too easy to be true. It is a solution that is easy to effect and can be easily understood by the People. No need for “new forms of money”. BOOM recommends this action highly and it should be done immediately, as a matter of national urgency.
However, there is a problem. Banks make no revenue or profit from physical cash. Banks must store physical cash, move it, secure it, distribute it and recall it when the central bank requires them to do so. Physical cash is a major cost of operations for them. Thus, the banking system wants to eliminate cash. After all, it is a significant cost centre for them and all businesses want to reduce their costs of operations.
The bankers “solution” is to create “Central Bank Digital Currencies” (CBDCs), issued and controlled by them (with their ‘perfect vision’ of the future economy, of course). If they were allowed to do this, they could achieve complete, 100 % control over the money supply, both in cost and in volume. But this overlooks one important fact about money. Money is a creation of the people. Its existence depends on demand from the People. Banks cannot create Bank Credit money without borrower demand. And Governments must create more physical Cash upon demand from the people.
In summary, the People are actually at the centre of money demand and supply, not the bankers and not the government. Money is a public good that emanates from the desire to exchange promises in a trustworthy manner. Understanding that is critical.
This summarises two major miss-understandings that plague modern nations.
1. Governments assume that they are in absolute power, forgetting that the People granted them that privilege temporarily and ….
2. The Banking Sector assumes that it creates and controls the bulk of fresh new money, forgetting that their banking licences are granted by the People and that borrower demand is essential for the banking system to function.
Thus, the power of government and the power of money creation reside in the hands of the People.
CENTRAL BANK DIGITAL CURRENCIES CANNOT SUCCEED – THEY ARE INTELLECTUALLY BANKRUPT -- THE DISASTROUS FAILURE OF NIGERIA’S CENTRAL BANK DIGITAL CURRENCY – THE eNAIRA
BOOM encourages all readers to review the BOOM editorial dated 8th October 2023 which deals with this subject.
Link: https://boomfinanceandeconomics.substack.com/p/boom-finance-and-economics-8th-october
CHINA STOCKS BOUNCE STRONGLY AS BOOM EXPECTED
The Doom and Gloom merchants are busy in the mainstream financial media at present, predicting (as always) the “certain collapse” of the Chinese financial system and economy. The word propaganda springs to mind. BOOM stands in opposition to them, stating firmly that they are all (probably) wrong.
BOOM’s recent forecasts may have nailed a possible major turning point yet again, this time in China.
On 21st January, three short weeks ago, BOOM wrote “BOOM’s China trade indicator has turned upwards in the last 2 months and is gaining strength. This is a reliable sign of increased Chinese trade which usually precedes a resurgence of the domestic economy.”
And ….
“… if the upswing in external trade continues, then we should soon see a rebound in the Chinese economy and a subsequent rebound in stock prices.”
Then last weekend, on Sunday 4th February, BOOM wrote -- “the Chinese stock market indices have not yet shown a base formation. However, with huge investment inflows and a recovering trade picture, there is potential here for a significant turnaround soon in stock market valuations.”
During the week, the Shanghai Composite Index was bought heavily and ended up by almost 5 %. Daily trade volumes have been increasing since mid January. Buyer enthusiasm was not as strong in the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index which finished the week up by 2.22%. However the Dow Jones Shenzhen Index finished the week up by an impressive 7.35 %.
CHINA STOCK INDICES — SHANGHAI — HONG KONG — SHENZEN
DAILY CHARTS OVER 6 MONTHS (from Stockcharts.com)
NO FARMERS – NO FOOD -- PROTESTING FARMERS SURROUND BRUSSELS HEADQUARTERS OF EUROPEAN COMMISSION
Globally, farmers are complaining that prices for agricultural inputs such as fertilisers, crop protection chemicals (pesticides) and energy have risen, some by more than 250% over the past couple of years.
Last week, massive protests by farmers in the streets of Germany, Poland, France, the Netherlands, Italy, Portugal, and other European countries descended upon the unelected dictators of Europe, ensconced in their European Commission building in Brussels. And towards the end of the week, Polish farmers blocked border entry points with Ukraine.
The protests coincided with Thursday’s summit of EU leaders, with the farmers calling on them to scrap agricultural and environmental regulations. The unelected, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced on Tuesday that she will scrap the contentious upcoming Sustainable Use of Pesticides (SUR) Bill that had aimed to slash the use of chemical pesticides in agriculture. This was part of Von der Leyen’s pet climate change project which involves ambitious and legally binding plans to make the Continent “climate-neutral” (whatever that means) by 2050.
The SUR Bill set an impossible target to slash pesticide use by 50% by 2030. Last year, the Bill was rejected by the European Parliament.
THE UNELECTED URSULA VON DER LEYEN — HEAD OF THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION
In a radical statement last week, Von der Leyen conceded defeat to the farmers as she said to the European Parliament -- "Our farmers deserve to be listened to". Well that is a welcome piece of common sense, a radical thought.
"I know that they are worried about the future of agriculture and their future as farmers.”
However, she could not resist the urge re-iterate her religious belief in “man-made climate change” and to attack them at the same time by saying -- “But they also know that agriculture needs to move to a more sustainable model of production so that their farms remain profitable in the years to come." She wants her cake and eat it. Everything is possible in the deluded minds of Europe’s leaders. How can farmers be profitable in the future that she imagines?
The European Commission also cut the previously mandated 30% cut to agricultural production by 2040. That looks like a cynical, temporary move to calm the farmers.
HAVE THE MAJOR US BANKS UNLAWFULLY ABANDONED THE US GOVERNMENT, THEIR SHAREHOLDERS AND SOME OF THEIR MAJOR CUSTOMERS?
Some of the major US banks, the Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo have joined the UN organised Net-Zero Banking Alliance (NZBA). The CEO’s of each bank have signed the Commitment Statement as a pre-condition.
In the “Commitment Statement, they have agreed to the following:-
“We will align our business strategy to be consistent with and contribute to individuals’ needs and society’s goals, as expressed in the Sustainable Development Goals, the Paris Climate Agreement and relevant national and regional frameworks.”
In other words, they have decided to abide by the oversight and agenda of the United Nations organisation rather than the US Government. In BOOM’s view, this is a repudiation of the US Government by these companies, a slap in the face to Congress and the Senate. This may be unlawful. The CEO’s have decided that they will be answerable not to their shareholders and not to their National government but to a group of unelected officials who meet at the UN Headquarters.
And, by the way, BOOM is not sure what a “framework” is.
When bankers abandon their government, and take a separate road, beware.
Further, they have agreed to “proactively and responsibly consult, engage and partner with relevant stakeholders to achieve society’s goals.”
The term “stakeholders” is used frequently by Klaus Schwab of the World Economic Forum. It is clearly code for corporate bodies and not individual citizens of nations. And, by the way, BOOM is not sure what the word “relevant” means in this context. And which “society” are they referring to here? It is clearly not a reference to their society of the United States nation.
Then they agreed to this. “We will implement our commitment to these Principles through effective governance and a culture of responsible banking”.
And to “be transparent about and accountable for our positive and negative impacts and our contribution to society’s goal”.
This begs the question – Governance by whom? The unelected United Nations and/or the World Economic Forum? BOOM would hope that these companies are accountable and responsible entities – responsible to their shareholders and to their national Government.
Further ….. the Statement reads:- (BOOM Comments in bold after each dot point)
We are pleased, together with other peer bank signatories, to commit to:
◾ transition all operational and attributable GHG emissions from our lending and investment portfolios to align with pathways to net-zero by mid-century, or sooner, including CO2 emissions reaching net-zero at the latest by 2050, consistent with a maximum temperature rise of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels by 2100. This approach will take into account the best available scientific knowledge, including the findings of the IPCC, so we commit to review and (if necessary) revise our targets at least every five years after the target is set.
BOOM is mystified here. What was the “temperature” they refer to as “pre-industrial”? And the “temperature” of what region on Earth? This appears to be Virtue Signalling gone mad. And what (exactly) is “the best scientific knowledge”?
◾ use decarbonisation scenarios which: are from credible and well-recognised sources; are no/low overshoot; rely conservatively on negative emissions technologies; and to the extent possible,
minimise misalignment with other Sustainable Development Goals. We will provide a rationale for the scenario(s) chosen.
BOOM is mystified again. Which “credible and well-recognised sources”? What is meant by “negative emissions technologies”?
◾ prioritise our efforts where we have, or can have, the most significant impact, i.e. the most GHG-intensive and GHG-emitting sectors within our portfolios, which are key to the transition to a net-zero carbon economy.
BOOM assumes that this means the banks will (somehow) separate their Greenhouse Gas intensive and emitting customers from their non GHG emitting customers? Remember, all human beings emit carbon dioxide when they exhale. On what basis will this be done to stay within applicable US Laws?
Surely customers who are discriminated against on this basis can take legal action to defend themselves? Have the various CEOs’ generated a contingent liability here? Contingent liabilities are liabilities that may be incurred by an entity depending on the outcome of an uncertain future event.
◾ use the bank-led UNEP FI Guidelines for Climate Target Setting for Banks4 (“Guidelines”) to set scenario-based intermediate targets for 2030, or sooner, for priority GHG-intensive and GHG-emitting sectors.
◾ publish annually and share with UNEP FI for review, to monitor consistency with the UN Race to Zero criteria and evidence that action is being taken in line with the commitments made here:
◽ progress against absolute emissions and/or emissions intensity targets following relevant international and national GHG emissions reporting protocols and/or climate portfolio alignment methodologies.
◽ progress against a board-level reviewed transition strategy setting out proposed actions and climate-related sectoral policies; and
◽ disclosure for key sectors will be made within one year of setting of the target.
Who (exactly) is UNEP FI (?) And who are they to set “banking guidelines”? What is the so-called “UN Race to Zero criteria”? Are the CEO’s binding their Boards here to a nebulous “review of transition strategy”?
Research reveals that UNEP FI is the United Nations Environment Programme Finance Initiative (UNEP FI). What right (exactly) do the CEO’s have to bind their companies to an “initiative” of the United Nations? As far as BOOM is aware, the UN can only reach agreements with National Governments, not individual corporations.
◾ contribute to the ongoing development of the Guidelines.
We will meet this commitment through:
◾ facilitating the necessary transition in the real economy through prioritising client engagement, and offering products and services to support clients’ transition;
◾ engaging on corporate and industry (financial and real economy) action, as well as public policies, to help support a net-zero transition of economic sectors in line with science and giving consideration to associated social impacts; and
What (exactly) does this phrase mean --“in line with science”? Which “science” are they referring to here? Is it only science pre-approved by the IPCC and/or the UN? Is other science to be banned?
◾ supporting innovation, the near-term deployment of existing viable technologies, and scaling up the financing of credible, safe, and high-quality climate solutions that are compatible with other Sustainable Development Goals.
BOOM wonders. What (exactly) is meant by a credible, safe, and high-quality climate solution?
In implementing and reaching targets for all Scopes of emissions, offsets can play a role to supplement decarbonisation in line with climate science.
Is “climate science” separate from other science?
The reliance on carbon offsetting for achieving end-state net zero should be restricted to carbon removals to balance residual emissions where there are limited technologically or financially viable alternatives to eliminate emissions. Offsets should always be additional and certified.
This Commitment recognises the vital role of banks in supporting the transition of the real economy to net-zero emissions, but we will only succeed in achieving this objective if our clients and other stakeholders also play their part. We make this Commitment with the expectation that governments will follow through on their own commitments to ensure that the objectives of the Paris Agreement are met.
The UNEP FI website summarises the “Commitment” made by the bank CEO’s. Again, BOOM asks the question – Are these lawful or unlawful under US State and National Laws?
The Commitment Statement is a pre-requisite for joining the Net-Zero Banking Alliance, and is signed by a bank’s CEO. All banks that have signed the commitment will:
Transition the operational and attributable greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from their lending and investment portfolios to align with pathways to net-zero by 2050 or sooner.
Within 18 months of joining, set targets for 2030 or sooner and a 2050 target, with intermediary targets to be set every 5 years from 2030 onwards.
Banks’ first 2030 targets will focus on priority sectors where the bank can have the most significant impact, ie. the most GHG-intensive sectors within their portfolios, with further sector targets to be set within 36 months.
Annually publish absolute emissions and emissions intensity in line with best practice and within a year of setting targets, disclose progress against a board-level reviewed transition strategy setting out proposed actions and climate-related sectoral policies.
Take a robust approach to the role of offsets in transition plans.
There is also a document on that website that describes “Guidelines for Climate Target Setting for Banks”. However the document is only available for Download if you provide your full name, job title, organisation, email address, region and country. And you must agree to receive their newsletters and to accept their “data privacy statement” – which is not available.
There is also an “NZBA Intermediate Target Disclosure Checklist” which is publicly available. This is clearly a set of Governance Guidelines set by the United Nations that the banks must agree to. Again, it is an agreement made between banking companies and the UN. The US Government is not part of the agreement, except in references. The word “government” does not appear in the 9 page document.
BANKS “NET ZERO AGENDA MUST BE STOPPED”
In response to this, 12 State Agriculture Commissioners have signed a letter to the six US banks mentioned above. The letter notes that this could result in "severe consequences" for farmers.
The letter reads: "Achieving net-zero greenhouse gas emissions in agriculture requires a complete overhaul of on-farm infrastructure — one of the goals of the NZBA."
"This would have a catastrophic impact on our farmers”.
The letter also said “the goal of net zero emissions could permanently damage American agriculture and endanger our country’s food security" and said that "American farmers should not be forced to put our food supply at risk."
Georgia Agriculture Commissioner Tyler Harper has said:- "American agriculture is sending a clear signal: we will not bend the knee to the failed, left-wing climate agenda of the United Nations that seeks to cripple one of our country’s most critical industries."
"Now more than ever, banks that do business with America should be unquestionably supporting American industries — and that starts with the one that puts food on our tables, clothes on our backs, and shelter over our heads."
Harper continued: "The UN’s Net-Zero Banking Alliance would be the equivalent of a run on the bank for our nation’s agriculture industry and pose a serious threat to our national security — and it must be stopped."
Will Hild, the executive director of watchdog group Consumers' Research, was reported as saying: "Farmers and ranchers are the foundation of our economy and international climate cartels like the NZBA pose nothing less than an existential threat to their future. By forcing ESG, Brian Moynihan and his cohort have driven the cost of doing business for small family farmers and independent ranchers to astronomical heights."
“The Agriculture officials and Commissioners hit the nail on the head in their letter: should their misguided climate extremism continue unabated, these megabanks will put our entire food supply in serious jeopardy. I applaud the states for their action, and I look forward to working with them to defend American consumers from this corporate malfeasance."
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By Dr Gerry Brady
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